Diary of a Fan

Monday, February 20, 2006

So Who's Next?

So it looks like various rumours are wrong and there is no announcement that Martin O'Neill (or anyone else) is taking over the reins. Which gives me the opportunity to add my thoughts of the managerial candidates to be lost in the deafening din which is speculation, prejudice and opinion.

Firstly the man tipped to be, then tipped not to be, then tipped to be our next leader, if he doesn't end up taking charge of England that is. And my opinion is that while he would be so much better than the man leaving that national role (and better than quite a few others too) he is not the ideal candidate his supporters tell us. Perhaps one of the reasons he has such a large number of supporters is one of his main assets; O'Neill is undoubtedly a likeable man. Being likeable doesn't exactly win you anything though. While his motivational skills in the dressing room may be good it's arguable as to whether they'd actually be any better than the current caretaker setup. O'Neill's achievements themselves aren't exactly that great. Whilst successive promotions with Wycombe are notable it's not exactly management on the highest stage. When he did get the chance to perform at the higher level he didn't exactly make Leicester into world beaters (let's not forget that their premiership status was only achieved by the backdoor sixth place entry into the playoffs and a last gasp winner in that year's playoff finals). Whilst he solidly kept Leicester in the upper half of the table he didn't exactly drive them onto better things---winning the league cup is more like winning a lottery, especially when some of the better teams aren't really too interested (not that I wouldn't take that for starters at the toon; just it wouldn't be enough). O'Neill's other claim to fame is his achievements with Celtic. Here we can basically leave aside the league championships etc as being a two horse race. More impressive is his guidance of Celtic to the UEFA cup final. But then, Newcastle have achieved almost the same feat recently. Celtic's performance in the Champion's League was a different matter entirely. And then he vanished from football. Yes, he hasn't exactly been actively scouting players of late. And there in lies a problem. O'Neill's loyalty is somewhat fabled (though perhaps one should ask Norwich, the team people conveniently forget he managed briefly, only to walk out on---Ok, probably honourably but when the going gets tough with our chairman?). The biggest problem is a sad one. Should O'Neill's wife 's condition worsen who could blame him for walking away again? And who would expect him not to? This club needs long term stability and, whilst that can obviously never be guaranteed, O'Neill unfortunately offers a greater chance of sudden upheaval.

So who else is in the running. I mentioned O'Neill's motivational skills in comparison to the current "hold the fort" men. Could they be the answer. I doubt it. Whilst they're doing a fine job at the moment all the pressure is off. Were it suddenly on I can't help but think it would be a very different story.

There is one stand out name in world football at the moment who doesn't have a job of course. That is Ottmar Hitzfeld; twice world coach of the year and winner of the european cup with two different clubs. Any truly top class team would be lucky to have him. His desire to return to football in the summer would even seem to fit in with our stated desire to "take our time". The only problem would seem to be whether he'd be crazy enough to take on such a role as attempting to lead Newcastle. That and the fact that the chairman seems to be more an idiot than ever in effectively directly ruling out the most qualified available candidate (something he has done with no one else---surely he can't really believe rubbish about betting scams?) Apparently he's now denied ever saying anything about Hitzfeld, which is good. Come on then Freddie, call him.

Having ruled out O'Neill and not being allowed Hitzfeld who does that leave? Well... Ranieri has actually said he might be interested and I think we could do a lot worse than give him the shot he was never really allowed at Chelsea. But without that sort of budget it's certainly a risk. Yet after him the pickings become slim. The real worry is who the chairman might actually have on any short list he's drawn up. Names like Bruce (in a worse position than us for fucks sake) seem to get mentioned "because he's a Geordie". He's also a useless manager... Allerdyce isn't exactly the sort of person who springs to mind when thinking of top european action. He may be capable of getting the little guys there (but not actually achieving) but we're supposed to be a big club. We shouldn't have to put in some sort of rough, tumbling bumbling display to get a lucky win through to the next round of the UEFA cup. We should be in the Champion's League. And it just gets sillier, and worse from then on.

What is the best realistic option then? Actually I hope the board really are waiting. For the best option may be, as someone put it, pick from the traditional world cup fallout. Whilst far from ideal we'd probably end up with someone of higher calibre than if we rushed in now (just not Sven---he would spend all his time chasing the quayside girls). But one has to feel the board, or at least Stupid Freddie, aren't content to do that. One can only hope they haven't set their heart on Bruce, or Sven or some other disaster. At least O'Neill wouldn't be that bad.

In the end I'm still not sure who I realistically want. And hopeful that means he isn't either, so we'll wait. But while waiting go on Freddie, give Ottmar a call; you never know.

(@23:02)

Quarter Final Draw

Our only chance of silverware this season now involves beating Chelsea. Oh buggery. Typical!

(@22:02)

Thursday, February 02, 2006

Just How Bad Was He?

Anybody doubting the sacking of Souness (and I haven't seen any yet) should take a look at the table below. nufc.com published some stats on the performance of the last few managers. Discounting caretakers who only had one or two games I took it a little further, transforming the wins, draws and loses into percentage of the games in charge. The final column shows the number of points this would translate to in a 38 game season.

The record of the last five managers, ordered by the number of points achieved when converting win, draw and loss percentages to results over a 38 game season (percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding; points totals rounded down to nearest point)
Manager Won Drew Lost Points
Keegan 54.5 21,0 24.5 70
Robson 44.1 27.1 28.7 60
Dalglish 33.9 33.9 32.1 51
Souness 28.6 30.4 41.1 44
Gullit 27.5 30.0 42.5 42

Yes that's right, only the truely pathetic Gullit was worse and not by much.

(@18:02)

And So He Out

He's gone :-D Thank fuck for that, he was doing nothing but leading us to relegation. Of course it is typical of Newcaslte United to remove the manager just after the close of the transfer window rather than acting swiftly and decisivly bfeore hand (this has been coming after all). Having said that the fact we have to pay the man some stupid amount of money for not being any good at his job probably means there'd have been nothing for anyone to spend anyway.

Souness will undoubtedly point to the tremendous injuries he's had but that's an excuse that he just trots out to cover his lack of skill in actually melding a team. There have been times he's had close to a full side out and even without some first choice players he should be able to form some sort of tactical plan and motivate. Indeed it is under such circumstances that the best managers are at their best, working with what they have and building a spirit that carries the team through.

I can't pretend to be sorry to see him go. It has becoming increasingly obvious that his work was failing and his only hope to redeem the season seemed to be to pin all hope on players returning rather than formulating any sort of plan (and he is the only man in Newcastle still thinks Boumsong is actually any good). The question now arises as to replacement. We don't need a pragmatic Scot (Souness, Daglish) or some wishy washy foreigner (the equally terrible Gullit). At least Sir Bob failed in a way which garnered sympathy, seemingly just losing the plot slightly (maybe because he could never remember which player was which). What we need is not someone to sort out "dressing room difficulties" but someone to motivate that dressing room and make them actually care they are wearing that black and white shirt. And with some tactical sense and ability to see which players don't cut it to boot, I don't have any names but let's hope we don't just limp along till Sven turns up.

He's gone, thank deity of choice, let's move forward.

(@12:02)

Wednesday, February 01, 2006

No Comment

Image of banner saying Souness Out

(@22:02)

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